Higher U.S. Interest rates will continue to support the U.S. Dollar in the near term. We're still looking for U.S. Data to remain firm, which will help the dollar.
Besa Deda
Howard's comments have encouraged further selling in the Australian dollar.
selling
We expect the dollar to remain strong in early 2006. (But) once the U.S. Federal Reserve finishes tightening, the risk is that external imbalances play a greater role in steering currencies, and in that latter backdrop, sentiment toward the dollar may deteriorate.
risk strong play early sentiment greater
Given the drop in gold prices and base metal prices I would see the upside to be quite limited for the Australian dollar today.
today gold metal
The chances of a rate hike will underpin the dollar. Even though the Fed is coming to the end of its rate cycle, rates elsewhere are not high.
end chances
The ECB probably won't do very much, maybe one or two rate hikes, and if the Fed keeps tightening then the rate differential won't improve substantially for the euro.
A minority government may increase uncertainty and create some short-term volatility in the currency.
minority uncertainty government create currency
data support interest
I think that tug of war will just keep it in a range.
war
There is little doubt that firms in the US have plenty of pricing power, given the continued strength of the US consumer.
strength doubt power
Rate rises may make their way back on the agenda. The Australian dollar should benefit.
benefit
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