At this juncture, given the apparent strength in demand and the narrowing margin on unused resources, I am focused on making sure that inflation and inflation expectations remain well anchored. I do not know how much policy firming will be needed to accomplish this objective.
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We're going to have high energy prices, a little bit more inflation. Underlying inflation is going to be a little bit higher, but not seriously higher and I still feel good about the overall economy.
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The Fed didn't act because the economy looks like its still right around its equilibrium level. The economy is growing slowly, inflation is under control. So the Fed will just leave policy unchanged until the economy gets knocked off a dead center, and I don't think that's going to happen in the near future.
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Will the government really hit the brakes? I doubt it. Much of the investment is following government instructions. It's in second- and third-tier cities. This is what the government wants. They've regained solid control over inflation.
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When the price of the building is going up faster than you can raise the money, it is a little discouraging sometimes. The construction inflation has just been incredible.
money price inflation
The market is adjusting to a trend that the market hasn't lived with in some time. Inflation is going up and interest rate are going up.
time market interest inflation
Some evidence has emerged that inflation is starting to pick up, and there's concern that the Fed's rate increases may not have been enough so far to keep that inflation contained,.. It suggests that we may see more aggressive rate hikes rather than the gradual baby steps we've seen.
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Stocks are not expensive. There's a lot of bad news the market has shouldered. I don't see inflation as a threat at all.
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Stocks are not expensive. There's no reason to believe we can't go higher. I don't see inflation as a threat at all.
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It's the inflation story, it's there and it's got implications going forward.
story forward inflation
This level of inflation, combined with falling unemployment and rising capacity utilization, is a recipe for continued preventative rate hikes.
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People are focusing on the impact of higher energy prices on the consumer instead of focusing on the impact of higher energy prices on inflation.
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He (Governor Williams) also needs to set a target for inflation which should be no higher than our trading partners, which is usually between three and four per cent.
inflation
This basically shows that inflation is not really an issue.
Bonds at these yield levels offer very little value. Inflation is low but it's not that low to justify bond buying, especially given the U.S. Economy is not slowing at a fast pace. Stocks offer a much better value.
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We're not explicitly targeting for any set of stock market values,.. Most of us think that we're managing the whole economy and we're trying to target inflation, unemployment. Period.
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We have done everything but tell you what our target is.. If you want to look at our past behavior, it's kind of magical. In the last decade (inflation excluding food and energy) has been between 1% to 2%.
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When the cost of inflation is taken into account, the cut is almost billion in real terms for schools, colleges and libraries.
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I think that fears of inflation are overblown, and that when we consider energy prices have pulled back a bit, there doesn't seem to be a lot of evidence that inflation has propagated in the economy beyond energy.
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There are risks that inflation could heat up at bit and therefore the risk that the Fed might have to be a bit more vigilant than the market expects is the thing that makes me the most cautious.
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The really surprising thing is the lack of inflation given this kind of growth.
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If under these circumstances the F.O.M.C. Is prepared to keep going, then this means that the committee is more worried about the longer-term risk of higher inflation than the shorter-term risk of a collapse in growth.
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We have two surprises in our economy: better-than-expected growth and lower-than-expected inflation, and the growth is based on productivity,.. People are working harder. They're generating more products efficiently at lower prices.
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I think everybody is waiting for the employment data. If unemployment is still dropping when we've just had a report showing productivity is declining, then the Fed would be really concerned about wage inflation. That would mean we would be more likely to see more than one or two rate hikes.
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Despite the sharp jump in prices, August's data do not change the picture of a strong downward trend in the annual rate of house price inflation
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