When consumers realize they can no longer expect that appreciation bonus to subsidize their consumption habits, they will very likely pull back on spending.
Christopher Thornberg
The forecast for California is mediocre at best; at worst we are liable to dip into another recession,.. At least 50% if not more.
california worst recession
habits appreciation realize consumption
It's people building houses,.. It's people financing the building of houses. It's people working in the stores that are furnishing those houses, and of course, the real estate agents who are making this all happen.
people real houses working
We say it's a bubble, but a housing bubble does not pop like a stock market bubble,.. A stock market bubble, when it pops, lots of market activity, prices dropping rapidly. Housing prices don't drop that way because there's a huge fixed cost. You don't day-trade your home.
home market pop
There are some signs that the housing party is ending.
party ending signs
We as a nation are not as oil dependant as we were back then.
nation oil
Housing prices are going up because the wealthy want to live along the coast. That's who's driving prices up.
live wealthy driving
It's pretty rare for home prices to fall unless you lose a lot of jobs in the local area. What you're really looking at is prices going flat for six or seven years while the fundamentals catch up.
home jobs fall lose pretty
We have lots of new employees. It's just not showing up in the employment statistics.
statistics employment
This is a real-estate-driven economy from top to bottom.
economy
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