I hate to say it, but war is good for stocks.
David Kotok
Over the last few years, we've had a number of clients liquidate a portion of their stock portfolios and move it to real estate. Real estate has become an asset class with its own momentum, and it is natural for strategists to write about it.
real write class natural
Those who think that energy prices are headed back into the 0's are dreaming. A 0-0 trading range for oil is more likely to be a plateau on the way to even higher prices. Demand for energy is rising unabated.
dreaming energy rising oil demand
Clearly there is a momentum towards gold at work. It is flirting with 00 and the indications are it should go through it. That will be a worldwide headline and will attract more buyers.
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Gold is hoarded by institutions and banks even while they say it has no monetary value, which means they are talking out of both sides of their mouths.
gold talking banks institutions
Longer-term rates will not rise dramatically as long as the Fed keeps the short-term policy rate at 1 percent. However, the pressure for upward movement in bond rates is already there and will persist.
pressure movement bond rise
war hate good
There's a point at which the Fed has to indicate that it has to pause and look around for a while, and that could come in these minutes, or the next ones.
Both governors and every commissioner are responsible. This is not necessarily a money emergency because people are crossing the bridges, paying their tolls and the bills are being paid. But bond markets do not look favorably on unpredictable, unreliable, politically driven decisions. Government organizations are created to pass budgets and meet bond covenants. To do otherwise is irresponsible.
organizations money people government decisions responsible bond
All should be summoned to one room. Then they should all light up cigars. When the room is filled with smoke, they should turn off the air conditioning and don't let anybody out until they reach a decision. Shouldn't take any more than 20 minutes.
light decision air conditioning smoke
Bond professionals will know that DRPA politicians are willing to use the power of their office over finances to advance their political agendas at the expense of keeping their promises to their lenders. This was a sad day.
power promises political sad day politicians bond finances
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