We've gone from a psychology a month and a half ago that the economy is growing too quickly, and the Fed is going to have to raise rates, to we're going to go towards a recession because the economy's slowing too quickly. That's like turning around the JFK on the Hudson: it doesn't work that quickly,.. So you get fear coming into the market -- it just changes its nature. The fear was inflation. Now the fear is earnings. And it's going to end up somewhere in the middle. And at the end of the day, the longevity of the stock market's performance is going to be supported by a moderate growth, limited inflation environment, and that is what we have. It's not going to be robust growth -- 5.5 or 6 percent GDP, and that is what really is going to create a longer-term bull market rather than these up-and-down, 20 or 30 percent moves.
environment growth work nature psychology fear growing end day market create economy performance longevity recession inflation
If it hadn't been for the mining boom, Australia might be in a recession now.
australia recession
The governor at the time decided to use the money to help resolve the recession.
money time resolve recession
What's surprising to me is the length of this recession we've had in IT. It must be a sign that IT is a matured function, that people are focusing on managing it better.
people recession sign
There's already a lot of stimulus in the pipeline, and there's more to come. So there appears to be an ever-growing amount of fiscal stimulus, which means any recession will be fairly shallow.
shallow recession
[Extending unemployment benefits] is the only kind of stimulus that helps each and every unemployed worker, who in some sense has borne the pain of the recession.
pain sense kind recession unemployment
It's hitting in the middle of a rather down period in Japan. Business doesn't believe in the government statements that they've been coming out of the recession.
government business japan recession
This recession was really an investment bust and a bust in the stock market, so the recovery is going to be very different than in the past.
past market recovery recession investment
We see the Fed easing as a flu shot that will help prevent recession in 1999, but fixing the global problems that underlie the markets' malaise will require major surgery. So basically, I think the market sees through this as a temporary boost, but there are fundamental problems that aren't yet resolved.
problems global market recession shot
The economic fundamentals consistent with what's being priced into the government bond market is an economy that's on the brink of recession.
government market economy bond recession
I believe this is tied to a recession, maybe a mild recession, but a recession in that the amount of revenue reported by telecom suppliers and dot. Com companies will be lower.
recession
Just before the incident we were talking of recession-like conditions in Mexico, but hoping for a recovery at end of the year. But now the thinking is that if global uncertainty stays with us then Mexico may face a recession all of next year.
uncertainty global end talking thinking face recovery mexico recession
To apply the Western standard of recession is not appropriate in Japan.
japan western recession
I know there were previous propositions passed by voters that made it so California had to reduce its spending on education during periods of recession. But [the state] also had to increase educational spending as required during years where there is a surplus [in the state budget] to make up for what they have been missing during the years of recession. Prop 76 limits that.
education educational limits missing california state made recession
We think the economy is in recession, and it looks like October is going to be weaker than September.
economy recession
I get flooded with e-mails from people, and you get a sense of the desperation,.. People have been traumatized by the last 15 years of downsizing and the last few years of recession. Everyone's afraid they'll be next.
people sense desperation afraid recession
2005 was very much a lukewarm, kind of tread-water year for small businesses. That has to do with the challenges facing small businesses: Costs went way up during the year, health care is up double digits, fuel, raw materials, oil for delivery trucks, all that was significantly higher than it was in the past. On top of that is uncertainty in the marketplace. Are we in a recession or in growth mode? Ask four different economists and you'll get four different answers. And as an owner of a business, it's very difficult to figure out how to operate in an uncertain marketplace.
health growth uncertainty business past kind challenges answers small care difficult oil recession
This indicates there is almost no chance of a recession for the first half of 1999 and possibly even longer.
chance recession
That's practically business as usual. Given Michigan's recession and Detroit's past budget difficulties, it's not what I'd hoped for. But there does seem to be some restraint here, and that's a silver lining. Thirty-five million is a tiny increase in regards to the budget.
difficulties business past budget restraint recession
There's going to be an element of caution in his testimony. I don't think he's going to be ready to declare that the recession is over.
caution testimony ready recession
This clearly suggests we are very close to the end of the tightening cycle.. And is not an indication of a recession.
end close recession
The housing market has never triggered a recession in the United States.
market recession
We saw the impact of the recession in 2002 and 2003, then saw a smaller decline in 2004. But in 2005, we started to see job increases, and that's a positive sign.
positive impact job recession sign
While market participants are focusing on the recession signal associated with an inverted yield curve, consumers are feeling more confident about the economy heading into 2006.
feeling market economy confident recession
The reason we've shifted to deficit spending is largely due to a shift from very robust economic growth and a booming stock market into a recession. The bottom line is, I'm not particularly concerned.
growth reason market recession
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