The environment is better and better for Democrats.
Stuart Rothenberg
State legislatures drew reliably Democratic districts and reliably Republican districts, and not much in between. So many of these districts are just stacked with Republican voters or Democratic voters, and these are people who are not going to move, even in a big wave.
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These numbers suggest an electorate ripe for an 'it's-time-for-change' argument. They don't like the way things are going, and they are blaming the people in charge.
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Early indications are that voters aren't up in arms demanding big tax cuts.
early big tax arms
The Republicans and the president seem to have come together on a number of issues to arrive at a consensus. The deepening division is now between the Democratic President Bill Clinton and the Democratic leader in the House, Dick Gephardt, and a lot of this is positioning for the year 2000.
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The problem with the big issues, Social Security reform, campaign finance reform, fundamental tax reform, is that they are so politically dangerous that I think both sides want to avoid them.
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Overall we have not seen that many seats that changed hands one way or the other, and Republicans did surprisingly well in the East, enough to offset any late Democratic advantage in the West.
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Accomplished a bit more for Bush than for Gore only because there were more question marks for Bush. I think he established that he possesses at least the minimum qualifications for being president.
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In the context of American politics, this is a pretty big deal. It symbolizes the influence and growth of a key voting group -- Hispanic voters -- in Democratic politics, but also in American politics.
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We will be drawing down some troops. If the president wants to try to turn that into the beginning of a success, he actually, I think, has some opportunity.
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California is going to be quite good for the Democrats. But the rest of the country is a draw.
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What we're seeing early on is Democrats rallying around Al Gore, Republicans rallying around George Bush and the difficulty of anybody else to get any room in the race.
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